Ideas / Past Present Future: a listening list
The History of Revolutionary Ideas: The Bayesian Revolution
David Runciman with David Spiegelhalter
David Spiegelhalter explains how a once-suspect theory of probability became a practical way to revise belief.
Probability is not only arithmetic. It is a discipline for changing one’s mind without pretending the previous mind never existed. That makes this history unexpectedly relevant to systems that predict, rank, and recommend for a living.